Active TSP Allocations TSPwire Portfolio Performance (as of 22-Jun)
C Fund F Fund G Fund I Fund S Fund
50% 0% 0% 50% 0%
  TSPwire 20% per fund
YTD -8.93% -3.64%
2006-07 8.94% 9.02%
 
Friday, September 05, 2008
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01-Jan-08 - 07-Jan-08 C Fund 20%
S Fund 30%
I Fund 50%
08-Jan-08 -04-Feb-08 F Fund 25%
C Fund 25%
I Fund 50%
05-Feb-08 - present C Fund 50%
I Fund 50%
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  2008 Outlook  
Location: BlogsTSPwire Blog    
Posted by: E E 11/18/2007 12:27 PM

Economy

Analysts expect slow growth but no recession next year.

 

Housing Markets

Home prices in US most likely will keep sliding down (5.5% - 6%) next year.

 

Stock Markets

Volatility on stock markets most likely will pickup. Investors will be up for a rough ride.

 

Credit Markets

The credit squeeze is still on. Even if you have good credit history it will be harder to get approvals for good deals on mortgages and lines of credit. That means that people will have less access to cash which will reduce cash flows on the market and in its turn suppose to reduce inflation pressure.

 

Job Market

Companies are expected to be stable next year. Even though companies are expected to be cautious about hiring, no one is predicting widespread layoffs.

 

Spending

Oil prices most likely will settle around $80 per barrel which means that we will face $2.83 gas prices at the pump. Consumer electronics prices should move down at least another 5-10%. At the same time sliding dollar will make all imported goods more expensive.
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Sell Signal Targets (as of 22-Jun)
Fund Current Target To Go
C $15.02 $17.75 18.18%
S $19.10 $20.89 9.37%
I $22.18 $25.74 16.05%

 
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