Good evening, TSPwire Tactical Investor!
U.S. economy started first quarter with its weakest growth in 4 years. Readings were below economists’ expectations, but some investors believe that we scratched the bottom and should move upward in the near future. The strong global economy is yet another reason that economists are esp ...
Good morning, TSPwire Tactical Investor!
What a week! US Stocks hit all-time high. At the same time Dollar dropped to the 2-year low against Euro, Yen and British Pound which raises long-term concerns about strength of US economy. We still tend to believe that in short-term good news should push US Stocks to even higher limits.
We ran our fi ...
USA Briefing: This week Feds released meeting notes stating that more rate h ...
We had another great week here at TSPwire. Based on last week’s results we moved out funds from bonds right before they dipped on Tuesday. I Fund outperformed C & S Funds which was also in line with our predictions.
We ran our financial models and calculated new s ...
Jobs growth in US came well above forecast. Unemployment rate came at 4.4% (4.5% was expected). Those are great news for stocks! (Stock futures went up and bonds slipped down.) Decrease in unemployment may raise inflation concerns but we believe that these days Feds worry more about economy growth then inflation. We predict that Feds will not change rates any time soon.
USA Briefing: U.S. productivity slowed over the past two years. If the trend continues, it could hurt stock prices and make economy more inflation-prone. | Consumer spending and personal income rose last month, helping offset a housing ...
On Wednesday Feds deci ...
Amid heavy market turbulence individual investors started pouring money back into stock mutual funds. Last week, according to Banc of America Securities analysis report, mutual fund owners poured $3 billion more into stock mutual funds than they withdrew. That’s a very sharp change from the week before, when more money came out than went in (i.e. $3.3 billion outflow).
Our take: investors might be seeing a buying opportunity on the market after recent sell-off. At the same time it looks like indiv ...
Next Week's TSP Funds Allocation:
We are very pleased with results that our financial models yielded last week. We managed to pull out all funds from stocks right before Tuesday's sell-off and saved ourselves from the 1.3-1.4% loss (C & I Funds dropped 1.3% last week and S Fund lost 1.4%).
We ran our financial models and calcu ...
Our financial models performed flawlessly this week. After slightly positive results on Monday all funds were moved into F Fund just in time for the second worst sell-off day since September 2001.
Today markets were all over the place. At the lowest point S&P500 hit 1,363 which is 11 points below last week’s low. That’s not a good sign because in traders’ terms “S&P500 failed to support last week’s floor” and might go lower.